Here are key matchups and take on how they might go, based on recent form, expert picks, and betting analysis.
Vikings @ Packers
- The Packers are strong favorites in this matchup, with FanDuel giving them about an 85% win probability.
- According to Fox Sports, Green Bay is favored by around 6.5 points.
- The total points line is relatively moderate (41.5), suggesting this won’t be a runaway offensive shootout.
- Minnesota’s defense will need to step up, especially to contain the Packers’ balanced attack.
- The Vikings could lean on their running game to control time of possession, but it’s unclear if that will be enough.
- Turnovers may be a deciding factor — if Green Bay’s QB protects the ball, they should be able to maintain control.
- Momentum could favor the Packers, especially at Lambeau, where home-field advantage matters.
- Overall, lean Packers to win, but expect a respectable showing from Minnesota rather than a blowout.
- Best odds for this series are available on BetOnline
Colts @ Chiefs
- Dimers’ predictive model gives the Chiefs a 62% chance to win this game.
- According to Fox Sports, the spread is around Chiefs –3.5, reflecting a fairly close game.
- The total is set at 50.5, which implies an expectation of a reasonably high-scoring game.
- The Colts are dangerous, particularly if they can slow down the Chiefs’ offense and win on big plays.
- But Kansas City’s home-field advantage at Arrowhead could be a major factor in key moments.
- Turnovers and red-zone efficiency might swing this game: both teams are capable of quick-strike drives.
- If the Chiefs get their running game going and control the clock, they can limit Indianapolis’ possessions.
- My pick: Chiefs narrowly win, something like 25–24, based on their edge in experience and home environment.
- Best odds for this series are available on BetUs
Patriots @ Bengals
- The Patriots are heavy favorites here, with FanDuel giving them roughly a 73% win probability.
- Oddsmakers have New England favored by about 7.5 points.
- On top of that, Fox Sports projects a 32–19 win for the Patriots.
- The Bengals are in a tough spot, especially if they’re dealing with injuries or inconsistency on offense.
- New England’s passing game (especially if they have a strong QB) should exploit Cincinnati’s weaknesses in coverage.
- The Patriots’ defense may be able to force some big mistakes, particularly in the red zone.
- Costly turnovers from the Bengals could further tilt the game in New England’s favor.
- Prediction: Patriots to win comfortably, expecting them to control most of the game.
- Best odds for this series are available on BetOnline
Steelers @ Bears
- Dimers’ model gives Chicago around a 60% chance to win this matchup.
- According to SportsbookReview, the Bears are modest favorites at –3.
- Fox Sports predicts a tight score: Bears 26, Steelers 24.
- The Steelers’ offense can be explosive, but they may struggle to consistently finish drives against a Bears defense that shows flashes.
- At home, Chicago will try to control the tempo and lean on their running game to take advantage of short fields.
- Turnovers could again be the tipping point — if Pittsburgh gives the Bears extra possessions, it may cost them.
- The Bears’ special teams and situational execution could make a big difference in a tight game.
- Prediction: Bears win narrowly, but this is one where the Steelers are definitely in the fight until the end.
- Best odds for this series are available on SportsBetting
Jets @ Ravens
- The Ravens are massive favorites; Dimers’ model gives them an 88% probability of winning.
- The spread is very steep: Baltimore –13.5, according to FanDuel.
- The total is 44.5, which suggests a moderate-scoring game rather than a blowout in terms of points.
- Opta’s model gives the Ravens a 66% win probability, highlighting both their strength at home and the Jets’ struggles.
- The Jets have had problems generating offense consistently, and this could be a very difficult road game for them.
- Baltimore’s defense may dominate, especially if the Jets enter the game with turnover issues.
- If the Ravens can establish the run and control the clock, they’ll limit the Jets’ opportunities.
- Pick: Ravens win convincingly, likely by a couple of scores given the gap in talent and consistency.
- Best odds for this series are available on BetOnline
Giants @ Lions
- According to Dimers’ simulations, the Lions have about an 80% chance of winning this game.
- Fox Sports’ prediction aligns with that strength, projecting a 32–18 Lions victory.
- The Giants’ offense has been uneven, and they may struggle to keep pace if Detroit takes control early.
- The Lions, if they use their run game well, could dominate possession and wear down New York’s defense.
- Turnovers may be critical — the Giants will need to limit mistakes or risk letting Detroit pull away.
- Detroit’s home-field advantage and offensive explosiveness make them very dangerous in key drives.
- If the Lions’ defense can make a few big stops, they could turn this into a one-sided affair.
- Prediction: Lions to win comfortably, and they may cover if they execute efficiently.
- Best odds for this series are available on BetOnline
Seahawks @ Titans
- The Seahawks are heavy favorites in this matchup, with FanDuel listing them at about –13.5.
- Dimers’ model gives Seattle a 91% probability of winning the game.
- According to Fox Sports, they project a 31–14 Seahawks win.
- The Titans are really struggling this season and don’t look to be in a strong position to upset a top-tier team.
- Seattle’s offense is potent, and they can likely exploit Tennessee’s defensive weaknesses through both air and ground.
- If the Seahawks get rolling early, they may force the Titans into a very one-dimensional game.
- The challenge for Seattle will be not letting up — they’ll want to maintain maximum intensity even if they lead big.
- Pick: Seahawks dominate, with a relatively comfortable win that may see them cover the spread.
- Best odds for this series are available on bet105
Jaguars @ Cardinals
- Dimers’ model gives the Jaguars a slight edge, with a 56% win probability in this matchup.
- FanDuel’s line favors Jacksonville by about 2.5 points.
- Fox Sports predicts a 27–21 Jaguars win, suggesting a competitive but winnable game for Jacksonville.
- The Cardinals have been vulnerable, especially against teams that can mix up their play-calling and keep the pressure consistent.
- If the Jaguars lean into their strengths — like intermediate passing and a solid run — they could control the pace.
- Turnovers could play a key role: both teams have riskier plays, so protecting the ball will be crucial.
- Home-field advantage for Arizona might help, but Jacksonville’s balanced offense could neutralize it.
- Prediction: Jaguars win, but not by a blowout — probably a one-possession game if both teams compete well.
- Best odds for this series are available on bet105
Browns @ Raiders
- Dimers’ model gives the Raiders about a 62% chance to win this matchup.
- According to FanDuel, Las Vegas is favored by roughly 3.5 points.
- Fox Sports projects a close score: Raiders 21, Browns 19.
- Both teams have had offensive struggles, but the Raiders may be slightly more efficient and capable of making fewer mistakes.
- The Browns’ offense could be limited if they can’t sustain drives; short fields might decide key moments.
- If Las Vegas gets a few big plays — possibly via the pass or special teams — they can pull ahead late.
- The Browns’ defense will need to make a stand in the red zone, or the Raiders could convert for touchdowns rather than field goals.
- Pick: Raiders to win narrowly, likely in a low-scoring, tightly contested game.
- Best odds for this series are available on bet105
Eagles @ Cowboys
- Dimers’ simulation gives the Eagles a majority of wins (about 59% in 10,000 runs) against the Cowboys.
- Fox Sports predicts the Eagles to win 30–21.
- The Eagles have been strong on both sides of the ball; their defense especially could pressure Dallas into mistakes.
- Philadelphia’s offense can be explosive, and if they find a rhythm early, they might pull away.
- The Cowboys’ defense has had lapses this season, making them vulnerable to well-designed plays.
- Turnovers and big plays (especially on third down) will likely decide whether Philly extends its lead or not.
- Dallas may try to match Philadelphia blow for blow, but sustaining drives against a disciplined Eagles team could be difficult.
- Prediction: Eagles win, and they cover, using a balanced attack and reliable defense to control the game.
- Best odds for this series are available on bet105
Falcons @ Saints
- According to Dimers’ model, the Saints have a slight edge here, with a 54% win probability.
- Fox Sports has the Saints as 1.5-point favorites, showing how tight this matchup is.
- The predicted score by Fox is 22–21, underlining how much this could come down to one or two plays.
- The Falcons’ offense, if efficient, could make this dangerous — especially if they control tempo with the run.
- However, New Orleans at home has motivation, and they could exploit Atlanta’s defensive gaps.
- Turnovers will be crucial: a big mistake could swing momentum in this rivalry game.
- Special teams and field-position battles might also play a disproportionately large role in determining the winner.
- Pick: Saints win narrowly, but this is a game where anything could happen — I expect a back-and-forth battle to the end.Best odds for this series are available on bet105
Buccaneers @ Rams
- The Rams are heavily favored in this matchup, and many models see them winning by a comfortable margin.
- Fox Sports projects a 31–17 Rams victory, which suggests they see a decisive win.
- The Buccaneers’ offense has struggled recently, especially in converting red-zone opportunities and finishing drives.
- Los Angeles, on the other hand, is likely to leverage its stronger defense to control the pace and limit big plays.
- If the Rams can establish their run game early, they could force Tampa Bay into predictable offensive sequences.
- The Bucs’ defense may make some big stops, but sustaining that for four quarters could be difficult.
- Turnover margin could be a key factor: if LA protects the ball, they should be able to keep their lead.
- Prediction: Rams win comfortably, probably by a couple of touchdowns, unless Tampa Bay finds something out of left field.
- Best odds for this series are available on bet105